Fulfilled prophecy carries much more epistemic significance than apparently unfulfilled prophecy, because of the principle of epistemic asymmetry
WRITER | SPEAKER | SCHOLAR
DR JONATHAN MCLATCHIE IS A Christian writer, International speaker, SCHOLAR, debater, ASSISTANT Professor & FOUNDER OF THE APOLOGETICS ACADEMY
The Argument From Prophecy and Bayes Theorem (Part 1): How to Express the Evidence of Prophetic Fulfillment
The probability of the evidence given your hypothesis does not need to be high for your data to carry evidential value. Rather, it only needs to be higher on the assumption that your hypothesis is correct than on the assumption that it is false.
In my judgment, what matters with an apologetic system is primarily its adherence to sound principles of reason and secondarily its persuasiveness. Arguments that are unsound can be persuasive to the uninitiated, and the apologist must resist the temptation to compromise his intellectual integrity by forsaking sound principles of reason for the sake of effectiveness.